Original market question
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
EVENT BRIEF / Artificial intelligence milestones
Will OpenAI announce that it achieved AGI before 2027?
The question is about an explicit claim from OpenAI—not an independent judgment—that the company created artificial general intelligence by the end of 2026.
POLYMARKETSource image and market data: Polymarketnewz.beer / brief
- Leading chance
- 18%
- Status
- Open
- 24h volume
- 29
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Markets
- 1
- Leading chance
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027
Probabilities and volume can be delayed. Verify the live order book and resolution rules on Polymarket before acting.
How to read the resolution
It resolves Yes if OpenAI or an official company representative announces the achievement by December 31, 2026 ET. Official OpenAI information is primary, with credible reporting also considered.
EVIDENCE / EVENT LENS
Explore the evidence
One market and outcome, shared across the chart, rules and narrative.- Selected market
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Outcome
- Yes
POLYMARKET / PRICE
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
——
Loading Polymarket prices…
Official market rulesExpand original rulesSource languageOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Original source text. The selected market's rules govern resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
01 / NEWS
Event-matched reporting
Only reporting admitted by the event relevance gate.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
Known inputs & open questions
What the sources provide
The market question and any published settlement rules above come from Polymarket.
The chart shows recorded prices for the selected outcome, not a verified likelihood.
What remains unverified
Collected reporting is a recent, relevance-filtered sample, not a complete historical archive.
Prices, timing and narrative labels alone do not establish an outcome or explain what caused a move.
02 / ATTENTION
Attention
Event-level attention, not sentiment or market probability.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
03 / NARRATIVE
Evidence narrative
Deterministic summary. Tone is separate from an outcome claim.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
SAME COLLECTION / REVIEWED
