MARKET COLLECTION / Artificial intelligence milestones
Artificial intelligence milestones
AI markets often depend on a named benchmark or an explicit company announcement. This collection surfaces longer-running questions whose resolution criteria can be checked against a defined source.
CURATED / STABLE
NewZ editorial briefs
Which company will have the top AI model at the end of 2026?
This market compares the companies behind the highest-ranked text model on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard at the stated year-end check time.
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PMEditorial review / 2026-08-24Will OpenAI announce that it achieved AGI before 2027?
The question is about an explicit claim from OpenAI—not an independent judgment—that the company created artificial general intelligence by the end of 2026.
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PMPOLYMARKET / LIVE
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