市场英文原题
Fed Decision in January?
事件简报 / 货币政策决议
该市场预测 2027 年 1 月 FOMC 会议对联邦基金目标利率区间上限调整的方向和幅度。
POLYMARKET图片与市场数据来源: Polymarketnewz.beer / brief
概率与成交量可能延迟。采取行动前,请在 Polymarket 核对实时订单簿和结算规则。
Fed Decision in January?
调整幅度以会议前的利率上限为基准,并归入页面列出的基点区间。主要依据 FOMC 会后声明及美联储官方发布。
证据 / 事件透镜
POLYMARKET / 价格
保留来源原文;结算以当前市场的官方规则为准。
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
01 / NEWS
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上方市场问题和已有的结算规则均来自 Polymarket。
图表展示所选结果的真实价格记录,不代表经过验证的发生概率。
已收集报道仅是近期通过相关性筛选的样本,不是完整历史档案。
仅凭价格、时间先后和叙事标签,无法确认事件结果,也无法证明价格变化的原因。
02 / ATTENTION
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03 / NARRATIVE
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