Original market question
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
EVENT BRIEF / Crypto markets and milestones
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
This market compares Bitcoin's 2026 percentage return with gold's return over the same calendar-year period.
POLYMARKETSource image and market data: Polymarketnewz.beer / brief
- Leading chance
- 27%
- Status
- Open
- 24h volume
- 39.5
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
- Markets
- 1
- Leading chance
- Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026
Probabilities and volume can be delayed. Verify the live order book and resolution rules on Polymarket before acting.
How to read the resolution
It resolves Yes if TradingView's finalized 12-month BTC/USDT change for the January 1, 2026 candle exceeds the corresponding XAU/USD change. An exact tie resolves 50–50.
EVIDENCE / EVENT LENS
Explore the evidence
One market and outcome, shared across the chart, rules and narrative.- Selected market
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
- Outcome
- Yes
POLYMARKET / PRICE
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
——
Loading Polymarket prices…
Official market rulesExpand original rulesSource languageWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Original source text. The selected market's rules govern resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.
01 / NEWS
Event-matched reporting
Only reporting admitted by the event relevance gate.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
Known inputs & open questions
What the sources provide
The market question and any published settlement rules above come from Polymarket.
The chart shows recorded prices for the selected outcome, not a verified likelihood.
What remains unverified
Collected reporting is a recent, relevance-filtered sample, not a complete historical archive.
Prices, timing and narrative labels alone do not establish an outcome or explain what caused a move.
02 / ATTENTION
Attention
Event-level attention, not sentiment or market probability.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
03 / NARRATIVE
Evidence narrative
Deterministic summary. Tone is separate from an outcome claim.Loading
Loading evidence for this selection…
SAME COLLECTION / REVIEWED
